Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1994.999359 2174.909468 2358.498591 2559.571386 2773.310876 2993.446122 3237.017016
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1695.240337 1958.200418 2237.916747 2556.493503 2908.136182 3283.298409 3712.673184
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1485.694650 1793.509670 2131.332985 2527.323163 2976.425935 3467.631459 4043.127132
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1358.841610 1701.961037 2088.395741 2552.092333 3089.510236 3688.938265 4404.110045
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1241.675575 1608.639717 2031.753126 2550.205719 3162.693783 3857.615548 4699.807480
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1170.573746 1562.279660 2023.278484 2598.435738 3289.069378 4083.995435 5060.047084
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1075.375392 1478.957166 1963.795825 2579.595652 3330.914870 4207.820761 5298.127886
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1029.419888 1452.705813 1970.202601 2637.448398 3462.434923 4436.475967 5660.089960
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 969.359828 1404.144302 1945.158569 2653.267169 3540.349532 4599.587674 5943.621468
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 909.412528 1351.721410 1911.705186 2655.392203 3598.892049 4737.696327 6196.479398
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 819.494381 1254.283585 1815.598326 2573.265473 3548.024598 4738.540099 6279.426038
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 802.967252 1254.628076 1845.750209 2652.695106 3700.875146 4991.433489 6673.580747
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 772.710888 1235.219704 1849.702223 2698.903723 3813.503282 5197.802696 7015.753087
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 725.905982 1190.135449 1817.200576 2695.493595 3861.340450 5322.882207 7257.791031
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 673.326516 1133.727040 1766.479589 2665.134385 3871.895831 5399.220857 7437.804460
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 643.962069 1109.292066 1758.307214 2690.914362 3955.453505 5568.639095 7736.421004
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 607.665002 1072.497746 1731.005015 2688.950842 4001.018734 5688.637349 7972.294694
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 590.301339 1063.194801 1741.848121 2739.142481 4116.427249 5899.806017 8326.703302
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 552.971044 1021.188076 1703.880516 2719.537216 4136.243510 5985.460662 8519.010736
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 541.397315 1018.637471 1722.722659 2779.735242 4264.919610 6214.879899 8899.560795
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 518.170398 996.320000 1711.417974 2796.193048 4333.139104 6364.512649 9176.834927
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 492.494908 968.659778 1690.931974 2798.403855 4380.957324 6486.825169 9418.742704
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 445.773391 903.831453 1611.851757 2712.949628 4304.094197 6440.164838 9435.934490